Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.032543 0.037877 0.043747 0.050676 0.058624 0.067446 0.077971
2025-09-21 0.023838 0.030596 0.038721 0.049175 0.062230 0.077956 0.098295
2025-09-28 0.018450 0.025802 0.035350 0.048580 0.066345 0.089276 0.121000
2025-10-05 0.015789 0.023798 0.034918 0.051340 0.074800 0.106899 0.153889
2025-10-12 0.013526 0.021816 0.034040 0.053151 0.081988 0.123518 0.187387
2025-10-19 0.011016 0.018942 0.031309 0.051697 0.084064 0.132927 0.211536
2025-10-26 0.009276 0.016918 0.029475 0.051204 0.087318 0.144194 0.239459
2025-11-02 0.007706 0.014869 0.027234 0.049631 0.088494 0.152170 0.262893
2025-11-09 0.006503 0.013234 0.025404 0.048412 0.089970 0.160599 0.287724
2025-11-16 0.005681 0.012147 0.024355 0.048365 0.093358 0.172423 0.319272
2025-11-23 0.004844 0.010880 0.022766 0.047065 0.094264 0.179937 0.343957
2025-11-30 0.004505 0.010564 0.022948 0.049136 0.101614 0.199578 0.392096
2025-12-07 0.003983 0.009782 0.022112 0.049137 0.105102 0.212704 0.430028
2025-12-14 0.003418 0.008799 0.020712 0.047787 0.105746 0.220526 0.458784
2025-12-21 0.003001 0.008082 0.019769 0.047262 0.107988 0.231639 0.494985
2025-12-28 0.002863 0.008019 0.020277 0.049981 0.117373 0.257898 0.563789
2026-01-04 0.002675 0.007791 0.020369 0.051762 0.124916 0.281096 0.628497
2026-01-11 0.002323 0.007068 0.019165 0.050352 0.125170 0.289040 0.662175
2026-01-18 0.002068 0.006554 0.018397 0.049874 0.127478 0.301563 0.706699
2026-01-25 0.001796 0.005939 0.017270 0.048341 0.127103 0.308125 0.738806
2026-02-01 0.001574 0.005428 0.016333 0.047153 0.127399 0.316180 0.774909
2026-02-08 0.001425 0.005105 0.015858 0.047107 0.130502 0.330929 0.827468
2026-02-15 0.001250 0.004664 0.014979 0.045839 0.130341 0.337988 0.862825